The size of Forensi...
 
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The size of Forensic Mobile Market in North America

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(@nebula)
Active Member
Joined: 16 years ago
Posts: 16
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I have had difficulties in figuring out the size of the market in US and Canada. There is no precise data. Is there anyone who know about any source? I want to create market report for forensic mobile market.


   
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BattleSpeed
(@battlespeed)
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Joined: 16 years ago
Posts: 36
 

I think you're probably going to have to arrive at your numbers by means of extrapolation from other market data. You might try contacting the research firm IDC (http//www.idc.com), which has developed some numbers for the "digital forensics market" generally, and ask if they've broken their projections out into subcategories like mobile forensics.

If not, you might be able to develop a logically-defensible inferential algorithm using their overall projections, some conservative assumptions (such as "if only 5% of the digital forensics market consists of mobile forensic activity…"), and extrapolate from those through 2009 (the domain of the IDC analysis). You could then use some easily-available statistics regarding the historical and projected cellular markets in the US and Canada to extrapolate your inference in the first step out beyond 2009.

If you use a strictly "linear" algorithm (e.g., a fixed percentage like 5% for the mobile share of the market), you won't account for the probability that mobile forensics will be a growing share of the overall market, but that will at least have the advantage of making your estimates very conservative.

While you're talking to IDC, you might ask how they developed their concept of a "digital forensics market" in the first place. They would have had to overcome an inherent problem in their analysis, which is that any sort of "forensics market" is going to be atypical, since a lion's share of the activity doesn't occur within a normal "economics" idea of a "marketplace" consisting of buyers and sellers, or consumers and providers, freely operating within an unconstrained framework of offer-and-exchange.


   
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